Business, Governance
& Sustainability
15 sessions covering nonmarket strategy, political economy, lobbying, globalization, NGOs, CSR and sustainability – built around 10 landmark case studies from Uber to Apple.
Session Map
All 15 SessionsPolitics of Disruption
Nonmarket environment intro. Case: Uber and Stakeholders.
Power & Nonmarket Analysis
Selectorate theory · (ia)³ framework · Wal-Mart A & B.
Lobbying & Political Strategy
10-step lobbying strategy. Case: Xstrata mining tax.
Globalization & Trade Politics
WTO, trade policy, issue life cycle. Case: Chiquita A & B.
International Investment Risks
Obsolescing bargain, ICSID. Case: Aguas del Aconquija.
NGOs, Boycotts & Movements
Private politics, activist campaigns. Case: Nike labor.
Corporate Social Responsibility
CSR vs. CSV · Porter & Kramer. Case: PepsiCo.
Sustainability as Strategy
Greenwashing, ESG credibility. Case: BP Beyond Petroleum.
Markets & Their Limits
Tragedy of the Commons, Ostrom. Simulation: The Lake.
It’s Not Easy Being Green
Carbon claims, greenwashing risk. Case: FIJI Water.
How Far Does CSR Extend?
Corporate political activism. Case: Disney.
Apple: Navigating Conflicts
Full synthesis exam case. Apple’s New Political Reality.
Core Framework
Master ReferencePolitics of Disruption
What is this class all about? Using Uber to see how the nonmarket environment shapes business opportunities and strategy – and why governments always eventually get involved.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsAnalysis
Session ContentUber is a platform company that connects riders with drivers via a smartphone app. It operates on a two-sided market model: drivers provide the supply, riders provide demand, and Uber extracts a commission (~20–25%) from each transaction without owning a single vehicle.
Its core competitive advantage was network effects: the more drivers on the platform, the shorter wait times; the more riders, the more earning opportunities for drivers. This created a winner-take-all dynamic that incentivised rapid geographic expansion before competitors could establish scale.
Uber’s pricing model (surge pricing) was efficient from a market perspective but generated public outrage – a classic nonmarket tension where what is economically rational is politically toxic.
The nonmarket environment is everything outside the direct buyer-seller relationship: governments, NGOs, regulators, activists, media, and citizens. For Uber, this environment was almost entirely hostile from day one.
| Nonmarket Actor | Stance | Power Source | Arena |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taxi Medallion Owners | Hostile | Regulatory capture, organised lobby | City councils, courts |
| Transport Unions | Hostile | Political connections, strike threat | Legislatures, media |
| City Governments | Mixed | Licensing authority, safety mandate | Municipal regulation |
| National Governments | Mixed | Legal framework, competition law | National legislation |
| Drivers | Initially aligned | Operational dependency | Courts, labour boards |
| Riders | Diffusely supportive | Weak (unorganised) | Social media, surveys |
| Media | Increasingly hostile | Agenda-setting, narrative power | Public opinion |
Uber pursued a deliberate “smash and grab” strategy: enter markets as fast as possible, build user base, then dare governments to ban a service millions of people already loved. The logic was that political cost of removing Uber exceeded the cost of regulating it.
The deeper problem: Uber had no nonmarket strategy to accompany its aggressive market strategy. It treated regulatory opposition as a temporary obstacle to be overcome by market momentum, rather than a structural challenge requiring deliberate management.
This is a structural certainty, not a contingent outcome. Three mechanisms drive it:
- Displacement losers organise: Disruptive technology displaces existing workers. Those workers are organised, have political relationships, and move quickly to the nonmarket. Taxi drivers are the perfect example.
- Government responsibility for public goods: Safety, labour standards, tax collection – governments cannot ignore platforms operating in their jurisdiction without accountability.
- Categorisation lag: Governments try to fit new products into old regulatory categories. Uber did not fit “taxi” or “software,” and different jurisdictions resolved this differently – creating a fragmented global regulatory landscape.
- Uber’s critics argued it was a transportation company; Uber insisted it was a technology platform. What are the nonmarket stakes of each classification, and why does it matter strategically?
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to Uber’s entry into a new city. What issues, actors, and arenas should it have mapped before launching?
- Was Uber’s smash-and-grab strategy a rational nonmarket choice or a failure of nonmarket thinking? Use evidence from the case to support your answer.
- What could Uber have done differently in its early years to reduce the severity of the nonmarket backlash it faced?
- Compare Uber’s nonmarket position to that of a traditional taxi company. Who had better nonmarket assets, and why?
Understanding Power & Nonmarket Analysis
Selectorate Theory explains why political leaders do what they do. The (ia)³ framework gives firms the tools to analyse and respond to their nonmarket environment. Wal-Mart shows what happens when a company ignores both until it is too late.
Cast of Characters
Wal-Mart CasePart A – Selectorate Theory
Reading: Dictator’s Handbook Ch.1Political leaders play a key role in shaping public policies and the formal rules of the market. To understand what policies will be made, you need to understand what political leaders want and how they stay in power. This is what Selectorate Theory explains.
The insight: political leaders’ primary interest is political survival, not the public good. Policy – taxes, spending, and rules – is the primary tool for building and maintaining the winning coalition needed to stay in power. State structures (the rules of political competition) determine what kind of winning coalition is needed and therefore what policies leaders will deliver.
- Keep W small – limits who must be satisfied with private goods
- Keep S large – makes it harder for challengers to assemble a rival winning coalition from outside
- Fill W with members who display high affinity for the incumbent (harder to bribe away)
- Control revenue flows – whoever controls money controls loyalty
- Implement policies that transfer enough resources to W to keep them loyal
- Do not implement policies that transfer resources from W to the rest of the population
| Dimension | Small W (Autocracy) | Large W (Democracy) |
|---|---|---|
| Type of goods delivered | Private (kleptocracy) | Public (rule of law, services) |
| Tax rates | High (extract for W) | Lower (broad efficiency) |
| Regulatory quality | Low (selective enforcement) | Higher (transparent rules) |
| Business strategy implication | Find the W members; pay/lobby them directly | Lobby broadly, use public information campaigns |
| W/S loyalty | High (low outside options) | Low (members can defect easily) |
Part B – The (ia)³ Framework
Master Analytical ToolIssues move through a predictable lifecycle. The firm’s ability to influence an issue declines as it advances through stages, while the cost of not acting rises sharply.
| Stage | Description | Firm Impact | Best Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Issue Identification | Issue emerges; few actors engaged | Low but rising | Shape early – highest leverage |
| 2. Interest Group Formation | Opponents begin to organise | Medium | Engage before coalitions harden |
| 3. Legislation | Bills proposed; lobbying intensifies | High | Lobby, mobilise allies |
| 4. Administration | Regulations written and implemented | Very high | Participate in regulatory process |
| 5. Enforcement | Rules applied; legal challenges | Maximum | Compliance or litigation – most costly |
| Dimension | Market Environment | Nonmarket Environment |
|---|---|---|
| Mediated by | Price signals, contracts | Public/private institutions, political processes |
| Key actors | Customers, suppliers, competitors | Governments, NGOs, media, citizens, regulators |
| Analytical tool | Porter’s Five Forces, Value Chain | (ia)³ Framework |
| Goal of strategy | Competitive advantage | Favourable rules, reputation, political access |
| Speed of change | Fast (market feedback) | Slow (institutional change), but can accelerate suddenly |
| Currency of influence | Price, quality, innovation | Information, reputation, relationships, money |
Part D – Varieties of Capitalism
Readings: Gilpin Ch.7 · Clash · Dominant SystemsNot all capitalist economies work the same way. The political economy of a country shapes what firms can do, how governments intervene, and what nonmarket strategies will be effective. Robert Gilpin’s Global Political Economy (Ch.7) identifies three dominant systems, each with a distinct logic – and a distinct nonmarket environment.
| Dimension | American (Market-Oriented) | Japanese (Developmental) | German (“Social Market”) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary Goal | Maximise consumer welfare & individual wealth creation | National power & economic catch-up; social harmony | Balance market efficiency with social welfare; domestic harmony |
| Role of State | Limited & non-interventionist; correct market failures; antitrust | Central & interventionist; “administrative guidance”; pick strategic sectors | Indirect support; strong social safety net; Bundesbank macrostability |
| Corporate Structure | Shareholder-focused; dispersed ownership; hostile takeovers common | Stakeholder-focused; keiretsu cross-shareholding; main bank financing | Stakeholder-focused; codetermination (labour on boards); Mittelstand |
| Corporate Goal | Profit for shareholders; firm = commodity to be bought/sold | Market share + national power; long-term orientation | Social welfare + efficiency; balance between profit and community |
| Key Institution | Antitrust law; SEC; fragmented financial system | Keiretsu (interlocked business groups); MITI; main bank | Universal banks (deep industry ties); Works Councils; codetermination law |
| Nonmarket Strategy Implication | Lobby Congress, litigate, use media, mobilise shareholders | Build keiretsu relationships; work through METI channels; avoid being outsider | Engage Works Councils; work through industry federations; negotiate not litigate |
| Strength | Flexibility, innovation, adaptability | Long-term planning, efficiency, export coordination | Social stability, labour peace, high-quality manufacturing |
| Weakness | High social costs, inequality, short-termism | Closed & inflexible; resistant to outsiders and imports | High labour costs; burden on international competitiveness |
Gilpin identifies this as the fundamental tension in comparative capitalism. It directly shapes nonmarket environments because it determines who firms are accountable to and what counts as legitimate corporate behaviour.
The “Guide to Dominant Capitalist Systems” reading frames three global questions about how these systems interact – directly relevant to multinational nonmarket strategy:
| Question | The Answer | BGS Implication |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Is one system truly superior? | No. Success depends on historical context and national goals. What works for catch-up economies may not work for innovation-leading ones. | Don’t assume your home-country system is universal. Aguas failed partly by imposing French corporate norms on an Argentine province. |
| 2. Do nations compete like corporations? | Not directly – but nations create competitive environments for their firms. National well-being depends on productivity growth, not zero-sum competition. | Xstrata’s argument about Australian “sovereign risk” was a competition-between-nations argument: Canada gains from Australia’s bad policy. |
| 3. How can divergent systems coexist? | Three paths: Convergence (competition forces best practices), Harmonisation (WTO/treaty agreements), Mutual Recognition (accept each other’s different rules as legitimate) | The EU DMA case (Apple) is a harmonisation conflict: US liberal platform norms vs EU stakeholder-oriented regulation of market power. |
| Term | System | Definition | Nonmarket Significance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keiretsu | Japan | Networks of businesses linked by cross-shareholding working for mutual interests; centred on a “main bank” that provides capital and strategic guidance | Makes hostile takeovers nearly impossible; outsiders (foreign MNCs) have very limited influence; access requires building into the network over time |
| Codetermination (Mitbestimmung) | Germany | Legal requirement for equal labour representation on supervisory boards of large German companies; workers are co-owners of strategic decisions | Labour has formal veto power on major decisions; nonmarket strategy must include internal negotiation with Works Councils before external action |
| Mittelstand | Germany | Medium-sized, specialised, often family-owned exporting firms that form the backbone of German manufacturing and export competitiveness | These firms have powerful collective voice through the Federation of German Industries; less susceptible to shareholder pressure than US equivalents |
| Developmental State | Japan (also S. Korea, Singapore) | A state that actively guides the economy through “administrative guidance,” strategic industrial policy, and support for national champions; MITI is the prototype | Lobbying a developmental state requires building government partnerships, not just information campaigns; the state sees itself as a co-strategist of industry |
Part C – Wal-Mart Case Analysis
Cases P-52A & P-52BBy 2005 Wal-Mart – the second largest US employer after the federal government – faced a coordinated multi-front nonmarket campaign driven primarily by unions who had failed to organise its workforce.
| Issue | Critics’ Claim | Wal-Mart’s Response | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wages | Poverty-level pay; depresses industry wages | Average wage nearly 2x minimum wage; 74% full-time vs 20–40% industry | High |
| Health Care | 900K workers without benefits; taxpayers subsidise via Medicaid | 48% covered (vs 46% retail avg); introduced $23/month plan | High |
| Discrimination | 1.6M women paid 5–15% less than men; blocked promotions | Denied; appealed class-action status | High |
| Environment | Clean Water Act violations; urban sprawl; greenhouse emissions | Paid $4.5M EPA settlement; launched major green initiative 2005 | Medium |
| Supplier Labour | Sweatshop conditions in overseas factories | 200 inspectors; 12,000 visits/year; 1,200 factories suspended in 2004 | Medium |
Unions redirected organising failure into a private politics assault. The SEIU funded Wal-Mart Watch ($1M initial pledge, 36-person DC staff). The UFCW launched WakeUpWalMart.com (160,000+ participants). Both campaigns were run by Democratic political operatives. Key tactic: manufactured “headline risk” – by 2004 Wal-Mart was the subject of 2,165 press articles per week, up from 950 in 2001.
| Strategic Action | Nonmarket Target | Effectiveness |
|---|---|---|
| War room in Bentonville + Action Alley in DC | Crisis management, political intelligence | Improved responsiveness |
| Hired political veterans (Deaver, Dach, Edelman PR) | Political credibility, media relations | More sophisticated messaging |
| Full-page ads in 100 newspapers (Jan 2005) | Information battle – correct misperceptions | Partially effective; critics dismissed it |
| $35M Acres for America; $500M green initiative | Environmental critics (Sierra Club, NRDC) | Drew praise; defused environmental front |
| “Working Families for Wal-Mart” front group | Build grassroots counter-coalition | Backfired when union ties were revealed |
| Pledged not to open branch banks (Utah application) | Banking industry coalition | Reduced but did not eliminate opposition |
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to one of Wal-Mart’s nonmarket issues. What does the framework reveal about Wal-Mart’s strategic options?
- Using Selectorate Theory, explain how a firm operating in an autocratic vs. democratic country should structure its nonmarket strategy differently.
- The unions that attacked Wal-Mart were “organised, homogeneous, single-issue, and rich in resources.” Why does this profile make them highly effective in the nonmarket arena?
- Was Wal-Mart’s nonmarket response (Case B) too little, too late? What should it have done earlier and when in the issue life cycle?
- Compare Wal-Mart’s integrated strategy to that of Starbucks or Toyota. What does “integration” of market and nonmarket strategy actually mean in practice?
Lobbying & Political Strategy
Lobbying is the strategic use of information. Xstrata and the Australian mining industry ran a masterclass in nonmarket strategy – and toppled a Prime Minister in the process.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsFramework: What is Lobbying?
Core DefinitionAustralia’s mining sector had boomed through the 2000s, driven by Chinese demand. But because mining was taxed on volume (not profits), the government’s share of total mineral value had fallen from ~45% to less than 15% by 2008–09. The Henry Tax Review recommended replacing the royalty system with a 40% Resource Super Profit Tax (RSPT) on all profits above the 10-year bond rate.
Rudd’s genius: he framed it as ordinary Australians getting their fair share from resources they owned, linked to a lower corporate tax rate (30% to 28%) and higher pension contributions. As one commentator noted: “imposing a tax on multinational mining companies to increase superannuation savings for mums and dads – you don’t need a political science degree to see how that plays out in the electorate.”
| Tactic | Target | Mechanism | Effectiveness |
|---|---|---|---|
| Government consultation panel (Day 8) | Rudd government | Direct engagement, raised fundamental objections to rate/scope | Limited – panel only covered implementation, not fundamentals |
| “Keep Mining Strong” media campaign (A$22M) | Australian public, voters | 33 TV ads/day, print, digital, social; Lawrence Creative Strategy | Shifted public opinion; damaged ALP polling in QLD and WA |
| Mick Davis FT open letter (June 2) | Global institutional investors | Framed RSPT as sovereign risk; JP Morgan sold 25% of BHP/Rio holdings | International capital flight signal – raised political cost |
| Project suspensions (A$586M + A$22B review) | Government, media, voters | Credible threat: jobs, investment, community impact | A$55B total suspended; Deloitte study validated claims |
| Alliance with Opposition (Tony Abbott) | Parliament | Made RSPT a key election issue; Abbott wore Keep Mining Strong T-shirt | Converted media campaign into electoral threat |
| Business Council of Australia pivot | Broader business community | Framing expanded from “mining issue” to “sovereign risk for all business” | BCA called for RSPT to be scrapped entirely |
The RSPT debate became a battle of competing economic models – a pure information war. Both sides used KPMG models that reached opposite conclusions based on different assumptions. The information war had a clear victor: the mining industry succeeded in shifting the frame from “fair share for Australians” to “sovereign risk and investment uncertainty.”
| Frame | Pushed By | Message | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairness / Public good | Rudd government | Australians own the resources; deserve a fair share | Initial support ~50% public |
| Sovereign risk / Jobs | Mining industry (MCA) | Tax damages investment, destroys jobs, undermines confidence | Public support fell to ~40%; undecided rose from 14% to 21% |
| Election threat | Coalition + Mining | ALP will lose QLD and WA seats over this tax | ALP internals confirmed; Rudd deposed June 23, 2010 |
Baldwin & Robert-Nicoud (2001) solve a famous paradox in political economy: governments almost always protect declining industries (agriculture, textiles, steel, footwear) rather than growing ones. This seems irrational – why support losers? The answer has direct implications for how firms should time and design their lobbying campaigns.
| Implication | Application |
|---|---|
| Timing: lobby when threatened, not when growing | Taxi industry (Uber session) represents exactly this pattern – an incumbent in decline with sunk medallion investments fighting hard to protect those rents via regulation |
| Sunk costs = lobbying commitment device | Xstrata’s A$45B already invested in Australia made it credible that they would fight hard against the RSPT – those sunk costs gave their threats legitimacy |
| Entry threats dilute lobbying returns | Industries where entry is easy (low sunk costs) have weaker incentives to lobby for protection because new entrants will capture the rents |
| Severity assessment | When ranking nonmarket risks for a firm, ask: who are the incumbents with sunk costs threatened by this change? They will be your most motivated and organised opponents – highest-probability adversaries |
The group report question for this case is: Why was Xstrata’s nonmarket strategy successful? Five factors explain it:
- Speed: Xstrata engaged the government consultation panel on Day 8. The campaign launched May 9 – just 7 days after the announcement. Early engagement prevented a dominant government narrative from forming.
- Coalition breadth: Miners coordinated through MCA; junior miners through AMEC; Opposition party through Abbott. The coalition widened from “big foreign miners” to “all Australian business.”
- Credible threats: Project suspensions were real. A$55B in projects were genuinely put on hold, validated by independent analysis. The government could not dismiss them as bluster.
- Arena selection: Mining companies understood that the real arena was not the consultation panel (limited mandate) but public opinion and electoral politics. They shifted the fight to the right arena.
- Information dominance: The mining industry successfully reframed “fairness” as “sovereign risk.” Confusing the public (making them uncertain rather than opposed) was sufficient to damage the government politically.
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to Xstrata’s situation when the RSPT was announced. What were the key issues, actors, interests, arenas, information battles, and assets?
- Why was the MCA industry association a critical vehicle for Xstrata’s nonmarket strategy? What would have been different if Xstrata had lobbied alone?
- The mining industry did not convert majority public opposition to the RSPT – only to confusion and uncertainty. Was this sufficient to achieve their goal? What does this tell us about lobbying objectives?
- Should Xstrata accept Gillard’s offer to negotiate directly (excluding smaller miners)? What are the strategic trade-offs?
- Compare Xstrata’s lobbying strategy to Wal-Mart’s nonmarket response. What principles of effective nonmarket strategy does Xstrata illustrate that Wal-Mart failed to apply?
Globalization: Politics in an Interconnected World
Chiquita was legally right. The WTO agreed. And the company still went bankrupt. Why being “right” on the merits does not save you – and why timing in the issue life cycle is everything.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsThe EU Banana Policy
The Core ProblemThe banana regime was economically absurd – it cost EU consumers $1.6B per year to transfer $300M to ACP producers (the rest went to European importers). Yet it survived for over a decade. Why?
| Dimension | GATT (pre-1995) | WTO (1995–present) |
|---|---|---|
| Decision process | Consensus – any country could block | Dispute Settlement Body; limited country self-intervention |
| Enforcement | Non-binding; could be ignored | Binding; can authorise sanctions |
| Appeals | Countries could intervene in own cases | Appellate Body; max 60 days |
| Speed | Years; stalemate possible | Faster; firm deadlines |
| Key principle | Most-Favoured Nation (MFN) | MFN + National Treatment + binding enforcement |
| Banana case result | GATT panel ruled against EU (1993) – non-binding; EU ignored it | WTO ruled against EU on 16 counts (1997) – EU still resisted for 2+ years |
| Option | What Chiquita Did | Why It Failed |
|---|---|---|
| Lobby Washington directly | Section 301 Petition (Sept 1994); hired Sen. Dole; Carl Lindner donated $5.6M | Clinton had competing interests (trade bill, Colombia drug programme). Dole backed off when 1996 presidential campaign threatened. “Bananas” weren’t a compelling US domestic interest. |
| Use GATT | Filed 1993; GATT panel ruled in Chiquita’s favour | Non-binding. EU ignored it. GATT had no enforcement mechanism. |
| Use WTO | Formal dispute filed April 1996; WTO ruled for Chiquita May 1997 | EU appealed then modified policy rather than complying. US sanctions ($191M) finally forced partial resolution in 1999 – too late for Chiquita. |
| Acquire EU distributors (market strategy) | Explored but unable to execute | Depressed stock + high debt = no cash. Dole and Del Monte did this successfully while Chiquita was focused on the legal route. |
| Acquire ACP production | Explored but unable to execute | Same financial constraints. Chiquita had doubled down on Latin America, the wrong bet. |
- Proactive beats reactive: Chiquita was asleep while EU policy built for 5 years. Monitor your nonmarket environment constantly, especially in your largest markets.
- Being right may not save you: Chiquita had a strong legal case. GATT and the WTO agreed. But the process was so slow and the EU so resistant that the company went bankrupt before justice arrived.
- Influence from outside is harder than inside: As a US company trying to influence EU policy, Chiquita had no allies, no staff, no reputation, and no relationships inside Brussels. The policy was designed to benefit European actors.
- Market and nonmarket options must be integrated: Dole and Del Monte used market strategies (acquiring EU distributors, buying ACP production) while Chiquita exhausted itself on the legal/political route. The market options would have reduced the nonmarket exposure.
- International institutions have limits: Even WTO rulings require political will to enforce. When US domestic interests don’t align (Clinton didn’t want to damage Colombia relations), even powerful instruments become blunt.
- Using the issue life cycle, at what stage should Chiquita have started acting on the EU banana policy? What could it have done at each stage?
- Why is protectionism economically irrational but politically rational? Use the concentrated/dispersed benefits framework to explain why the EU banana regime survived for so long.
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to Chiquita’s situation in 1994. Who were its allies and adversaries? What arenas were available? What assets did it lack?
- Compare Chiquita’s strategy to Dole’s. What market options did Dole pursue that Chiquita ignored? What does this tell us about integrated strategy?
- If you were advising Chiquita in 1991 (before the EU policy took effect), what would your nonmarket strategy have been? Be specific about timing, arenas, and allies.
International Investment Risks
Aguas failed because it priced water above what users could afford and what a new government could politically survive. The obsolescing bargain theory predicts exactly this kind of failure – and suggests how to avoid it.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsThe Obsolescing Bargain Theory
Core FrameworkThe group report question: Name the main reason Aguas failed in Tucumán. What could Aguas have done to improve their chances of success?
The root cause was a catastrophic pricing and political miscalculation: Aguas implemented an immediate 104% water price increase (including new regulatory body levy) in one of Argentina’s poorest provinces, without having delivered any service improvements first. The timing could not have been worse – provincial elections were months away.
| Failure Factor | What Happened | Category |
|---|---|---|
| Pricing strategy | 104% price hike effective Day 1; no service improvements yet delivered | Fatal – triggered public outrage |
| Political risk ignored | Signed deal with outgoing Peronist governor; new election scheduled immediately | Fatal – no continuity of political support |
| Brown water incident | Manganese + chlorine discoloured tap water (January 1996); made visible what was always a problem | Triggering event – converted latent discontent into crisis |
| Sole bidder leverage misused | CGE negotiated closed-door for higher tariffs and lower investment; seen as exploiting weak government | Legitimacy problem – corruption rumours, never refuted |
| Frozen investment response | When renegotiation demanded, CGE froze further investments | Reinforced public narrative: “company holding water hostage” |
| Regulatory body filled by opposition | ERSACT staffed by former DIPOS employees and union members with political connections | Regulator became an opponent, not a neutral arbiter |
| Stage | Recommended Action | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Before signing | Deeper political risk assessment; scenario plan for electoral change; restructure contract for phased price increases tied to service milestones | Obsolescing bargain is predictable – build protections into the original contract |
| Contract design | Link price increases to verified service improvements; include political risk insurance; require stronger federal government guarantees (not just provincial) | Reduces probability of renegotiation by aligning company performance with public benefit |
| Day 1 of operation | Phase price increases – small increases tied to visible improvements (fix brown water first); invest in community relations; stakeholder engagement with local community leaders | Public legitimacy is the only sustainable basis for a natural monopoly; early goodwill is insurance |
| Election risk | Engage all major political parties before the election; build cross-party support for the concession | Contract signed with one party is vulnerable when parties change; all parties should feel ownership |
| During crisis | Maintain service and investment; do not freeze; use federal government and World Bank as mediators earlier; consider concessions on tariff to preserve credibility | Freezing investments confirmed the hostile narrative; service continuation builds goodwill |
| Risk Dimension | Aguas Assessment | Red Flag? |
|---|---|---|
| Type of industry | Water – natural monopoly, essential service, strategic, politically sensitive | Maximum sensitivity |
| Type of investment | Concession contract; 30-year time horizon; massive sunk costs in infrastructure | Long horizon = more exposure to political change |
| Ownership structure | French MNC + Spanish partner; no local partners in the consortium | No local partners = no local political protection |
| Political support | Support from outgoing Peronist governor only; incoming governor was opposition | Single-party support with election imminent |
| Company reputation | Sole bidder; closed-door negotiations; corruption rumours circulated | Legitimacy deficit from day one |
| Stakeholder relations | No community engagement; unions and DIPOS employees hostile | Regulator became an opponent |
Vernon’s original Obsolescing Bargain Model (OBM) was developed in the 1970s, primarily for natural resource MNCs in developing countries. Two important readings update and extend it: Ramamurti (2001) argues the OBM needs revision for the modern era, while Eden, Lenway & Schuler (AIB 2004) propose replacing it with a richer Political Bargaining Model (PBM).
| OBM Assumption | PBM Update | Real-World Example |
|---|---|---|
| Bargain always obsolesces post-investment | May not obsolesce if MNE’s tacit/relational resources remain valuable | Apple’s design and AI capabilities cannot be transferred to a host government |
| HC goals always conflictual with MNE | HC and MNE often cooperate to attract investment vs. rival locations | Countries compete to host manufacturing; Singapore actively courts tech firms |
| Power shifts deterministically to HC | Power depends on ongoing relative bargaining resources of both parties | Post-RSPT: Australia needed Xstrata’s investment; both sides retained leverage |
| One-shot entry negotiation | Continuous multi-issue negotiation across taxes, labour, IP, environment | FIJI Water’s ongoing renegotiation of water extraction taxes is a PBM dynamic |
When local political solutions failed, Aguas turned to international arbitration. The case illustrates both the power and limits of the ICSID framework for investor protection.
| Legal Instrument | Provision | Outcome in Aguas Case |
|---|---|---|
| Concession Contract, Art 16(4) | Disputes go to local Tucumán courts only | Argentina argued this excluded ICSID jurisdiction |
| Franco-Argentine BIT, Art 8(2) | Investment disputes go to ICSID if unresolved in 6 months | ICSID ruled BIT (international treaty) supersedes local contract |
| ICSID Convention, Art 25 | ICSID has jurisdiction over investment disputes between state and foreign national | Jurisdiction confirmed; Argentina had not consented but BIT created that consent |
| ICSID substantive ruling | Vivendi failed to use national courts first – claim rejected | Vivendi filed annulment; ICSID rare reversal in 2002 (only 4 precedents) |
- Apply the Obsolescing Bargain model to the Aguas case. At what point did CGE’s bargaining power peak? When and why did it shift to the government?
- What was the main reason Aguas failed in Tucumán? Was it primarily a market failure, a political failure, or a management failure? Justify your answer.
- Using the political risk framework (Risk = Probability x Expected Loss), assess the risk Aguas faced before signing the concession. Were these risks identifiable in advance?
- What could CGE have done differently at the contract design stage to reduce its vulnerability? Consider the concession terms, pricing structure, partner selection, and government guarantees.
- Compare the Aguas case to Xstrata (Session 4). Both faced hostile governments. Why was Xstrata’s nonmarket response more effective than Aguas’s?
NGOs, Boycotts, and Social Movements
Nike’s labour scandal is the defining case of private politics – how NGOs and activists shape de-facto rules of the global economy without passing a single law. Market assets (brand, outsourcing) became catastrophic nonmarket liabilities.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsAnalysis
Session ContentNike’s strategy was elegant: outsource all manufacturing to low-cost Asian contractors, pour savings into celebrity marketing, build an invincible brand. This worked brilliantly in the market – 40% US market share, $9B in revenues by the late 1990s. But it created two fatal nonmarket vulnerabilities:
| Market Asset | How It Became a Nonmarket Liability |
|---|---|
| Premium brand image (Just Do It, Jordan, Woods) | High brand visibility = high scrutiny. “When I was growing up, rooting for the Yankees was like rooting for US Steel. Today, rooting for Nike is like rooting for Microsoft.” Fame made Nike a symbol of corporate power – and a target. |
| Outsourced manufacturing (zero in-house production) | Nike repeatedly claimed “we don’t make shoes” to deny responsibility for contractor labour practices. This was legally defensible but morally incoherent – activists correctly argued that Nike set the production requirements that drove the conditions. Denial made the crisis worse. |
| University endorsement deals ($7.2M to UNC alone) | Nike relied on campuses as both a sales channel and a brand identity anchor. Student activists weaponised this dependency: “pull the Nike contract or we boycott the university.” The universities were far more sensitive to student pressure than to Nike revenue. |
| 80% of shoes sold for fashion (not athletic use) | Fashion consumers are trend-driven and fickle. When Nike’s image shifted from “cool” to “exploitative,” adidas, New Balance, and Airwalk captured the teen trendsetters almost overnight. Brand image is both the core asset and the core vulnerability. |
Private politics refers to NGO and activist campaigns that attempt to change corporate behaviour directly – without passing through government or legislation. The goal is to make the cost of continued behaviour exceed the cost of change. The Nike campaign is the textbook model.
The article “Turning Gadflies into Allies” (HBS R0402J) offers the strategic antidote to the defensive posture Nike initially took. The core argument: NGO critics are a source of valuable intelligence and can be converted from adversaries to strategic partners if engaged proactively.
| Defensive Approach (Nike initially) | Strategic Engagement (Nike eventually) |
|---|---|
| “We don’t make shoes” – deny responsibility | Accept supply chain responsibility; audit proactively |
| Treat NGO critics as enemies to discredit | Meet with NGOs; establish stakeholder councils |
| React to media exposés after they are published | Internal monitoring to find problems before they leak |
| Engage activists only under market pressure | Identify issues before they reach the public arena |
| Independent monitoring = Ernst & Young (hired by Nike) | Independent monitoring = genuine external parties not on corporate payroll |
The Nike case gave the business world a new concept: the “Nike moment” – the tipping point when accumulated negative publicity around supply chain practices reaches critical mass and forces strategic rethinking. An FLA auditor described Apple’s Foxconn crisis (2012) as Apple’s “Nike moment.”
| Principle | What It Means | Nike Example |
|---|---|---|
| Supply chain = your responsibility | Companies are increasingly held responsible for all activities throughout their supply chains, not just their own operations | Nike’s contractor factories were legally separate; morally they were Nike |
| NGOs shape de-facto standards | Where governments cannot reach (global supply chains), NGOs set the standards through public pressure | FLA, Workers Rights Consortium – private organisations setting global labour norms |
| Proactive > reactive | Issue management is far cheaper early in the life cycle. Nike’s reforms in 1998 cost far more than proactive engagement in 1992 would have | $45M restructuring charges; years of brand damage vs. early stakeholder dialogue |
| Denial amplifies crisis | When the Ernst & Young audit leaked, Nike spokesman said problems “no longer existed.” This made headlines. Honest engagement would have been far less damaging | “This shows our monitoring works” – while workers had respiratory ailments |
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to Nike in 1994. Who were the key actors? What arenas were available to them? What information shaped the campaign? What assets did Nike have – and which were actually liabilities?
- How does the Nike case illustrate the concept of “private politics”? What distinguishes private politics from public politics?
- What is the “visibility-liability paradox”? Can you think of other companies (besides Apple/Foxconn) that have experienced their “Nike moment”?
- Was Nike’s outsourcing model inherently incompatible with responsible labour practices? Or was it a management failure rather than a structural one?
- Using the “Turning Gadflies into Allies” framework, what should Nike have done in 1991 when Jeff Ballinger published his first report? Be specific about stakeholder engagement, monitoring design, and public communications.
Corporate Social Responsibility
PepsiCo’s obesity dilemma asks the hardest CSR question: can a company whose core product contributes to a societal problem genuinely become a force for good? And is there a business case for trying?
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsCore Frameworks
Porter & KramerThe group report question: Critically evaluate the non-market risks PepsiCo faces. Are they large or small? With this evaluation, assess PepsiCo’s non-market strategy as a means to solve these risks.
| Nonmarket Risk | Probability | Expected Loss | Severity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar/soda taxes (municipal, national) | Medium – already enacted in some cities/countries | High – direct impact on core product volume | HIGH |
| Advertising restrictions (to children) | Medium – strong NGO pressure, some legislation | Medium – children are key lifetime-consumer acquisition channel | MEDIUM-HIGH |
| Obesity litigation (“the tobacco scenario”) | Low currently – courts still favouring “personal responsibility” | Very high – existential if tobacco precedent applies | MEDIUM |
| Reputational damage from obesity association | High – already occurring; media coverage extensive | Medium – brand is resilient but slowly eroding | MEDIUM-HIGH |
| Market shift to healthy products | Growing – organic sales up 5% YoY; but small absolute share | Low-medium – core products still dominant | LOW-MEDIUM |
| NGO/activist campaigns | High – ongoing; school bans, sugar tax coalitions | Medium – no single campaign has caused earnings collapse | MEDIUM |
| Strategic Action | Nonmarket Goal | Honest Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| “Fun for you / Better for you / Good for you” product tiers | Signal portfolio shift; reduce reputational risk | Positive signal, but core “Fun for you” products still dominate revenues |
| Smartspot programme; SmartChoices logo | Help consumers identify healthier options; preempt mandatory labelling | Backfired – Froot Loops (41% sugar) was SmartChoice certified; called “nutriwashing” |
| “Move First” exercise campaign | Shift blame from food intake to physical activity | Scientifically misleading; exercise alone cannot offset 1,390 daily excess calories; seen as deflection |
| Acquisition of healthy brands (Naked Juice, SodaStream, KeVita, Bare Snacks) | Diversify into growing health segment; hedge against core portfolio decline | Genuine market response; still small fraction of revenue |
| R&D budget +45% since 2011; Nutrition Greenhouse Accelerator | Innovation into healthier products; first-mover advantage | Genuine investment; results still incremental rather than radical |
| Lobbying: $6M to block CA soda taxes; opposed 28 health bills (2011–15) | Maintain political protection for core business model | Directly contradicts CSR messaging; critics call it the “real” strategy |
| Option | Description | Market Upside | Nonmarket Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Do nothing | Maximise cash from existing portfolio; ignore health critics | High short-term margins; no transition costs | Accelerates “tobacco scenario”; activist campaigns intensify; eventual regulation far harsher |
| 2. Slow change (current path) | Gradually shift portfolio; acquire healthy brands; R&D investment; maintain lobbying | Hedges bets; maintains core revenues; signals intent to investors | Credibility gap persists; “nutriwashing” label sticks; regulators remain hostile |
| 3. Bold pivot | Set a concrete 10-year target to shift majority of revenues to “Good for you” products; stop opposing health regulations; align lobbying with stated values | First-mover advantage in growing health market; regulatory goodwill; NGO alliances | Highest credibility; lowest long-term regulatory risk |
| PepsiCo Initiative | CSR or CSV? | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Gatorade community sports programmes | Strategic CSR | Brand reinforcement + community benefit; not core value chain change |
| Smartspot / green symbols on packaging | Responsive CSR / Nutriwashing | Defensive move to manage pressure; not genuine product improvement |
| R&D into lower-sugar formulations | Strategic CSR / approaching CSV | Genuine product improvement; potential competitive differentiation |
| Acquisition of Bare Snacks, KeVita | CSV (if scaled) | Creates new market revenue + healthier consumer outcomes; competitive advantage |
| Lobbying against soda taxes | Anti-CSR | Protects core business at expense of public health; contradicts stated CSR goals |
| Nutrition Greenhouse Accelerator | Strategic CSR / nascent CSV | Supports innovation ecosystem; small scale; genuine commitment signal |
- Critically evaluate the non-market risks PepsiCo faces. Using Risk = Probability x Expected Loss, rank them from most to least severe. Is the “tobacco scenario” a realistic threat?
- Is PepsiCo’s “Performance with Purpose” strategy genuine CSV or sophisticated CSR? Use the Porter & Kramer framework to support your argument.
- What is “nutriwashing”? Identify two specific PepsiCo initiatives that could be characterised this way. What makes them vulnerable to this criticism?
- Can a company whose core product contributes to a societal problem ever have a genuinely credible CSR strategy? Under what conditions could PepsiCo build authentic credibility?
- What should PepsiCo’s CEO do? Evaluate all three strategic options (do nothing, slow change, bold pivot) and make a recommendation with supporting rationale.
Sustainability as Strategy
BP’s “Beyond Petroleum” campaign was a masterclass in nonmarket differentiation – until operational decisions made the brand promise a liability instead of an asset. Greater visibility equals greater accountability when things go wrong.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsBP’s Strategic Logic
Why “Beyond Petroleum”?The group report question: Assess the failure of BP’s “beyond petroleum” campaign. Was it a good idea and bad execution or a bad idea and doomed to fail? Why?
| Position | Arguments For | Arguments Against |
|---|---|---|
| Good idea, bad execution | Strategy achieved real results: #1 environmental ranking, NGO alliances, carbon reduction targets met early. If operations had aligned with brand, the strategy could have worked. Browne was right that energy transition was coming. | Any strategy that requires the entire operational culture to change is inherently fragile. The brand raised the bar so high that any operational failure was catastrophically amplified. Brand credibility is easily destroyed but takes years to build. |
| Bad idea, doomed to fail | Oil companies cannot escape their core business. “Beyond petroleum” was a contradiction: 95%+ of revenues still came from oil and gas. The brand promise could never be sustained without a genuine business model transformation. | Competitors (Shell, Total) also pursued ESG strategies with more operational consistency and avoided BP-scale disasters. The problem was execution, not concept. |
| Year | Event | Nonmarket Effect |
|---|---|---|
| 1997 | Browne Stanford speech: acknowledges climate change, pledges 10% CO2 cut by 2010 | Breaks with oil industry consensus; first-mover NGO credibility |
| 2000 | “Beyond Petroleum” rebrand; new logo; major ad campaign | Brand repositioning; sunflower logo becomes iconic; talent magnet |
| 2001 | FT environmental league: BP ranked #1 by NGOs and media (above Body Shop, Greenpeace) | Peak nonmarket credibility; NGO allies; political access premium |
| 2001–06 | Strong financial performance ($19.3B profit in 2005; $22.3B in 2006) | Market strategy working; strategy appears validated |
| 2005 | Texas City refinery explosion: 15 workers killed | First crack in brand promise; internal safety culture exposed |
| 2006 | Alaska pipeline corrosion: 267,000 gallons spilled | Second operational failure; pattern emerging; shares fall |
| 2007 | Baker Panel report: “scathing portrait of cultural failure; profits before safety” | Internal failure publicly documented; NGO allies begin distancing |
| 2010 | Deepwater Horizon: 11 deaths, largest oil spill in US history | Catastrophic; brand destroyed; Hayward “I want my life back”; CEO resigns |
BP’s story is a perfect illustration of the visibility-liability paradox we first saw with Nike – but applied to ESG strategy rather than labour practices.
The BP case should not be read as evidence that ESG strategy is always wrong. It is evidence that disconnected ESG strategy is dangerous. Comparing BP to the integrated strategy cases from earlier sessions:
| Company | ESG Positioning | Operational Alignment? | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota (Prius) | Green technology; hybrid vehicles | Yes – R&D actually delivered the product; nonmarket claim backed by market product | Nonmarket reinforced market; $340M tax credit boost |
| Starbucks | Fair trade sourcing; worker benefits | Yes – sourcing practices actually changed; worker benefits real | Nonmarket reinforces premium brand positioning |
| BP | “Beyond Petroleum” environmental leader | No – cost-cutting in safety contradicted the brand; culture never changed | Nonmarket promise became a liability when operations failed |
| PepsiCo | “Performance with Purpose” | Partial – some genuine product shifts; core portfolio unchanged; lobbying contradicts claims | Credibility gap; risk of “nutriwashing” label |
- Was BP’s “Beyond Petroleum” campaign a good idea with bad execution, or a bad idea doomed to fail? Build a structured argument for one position, anticipating the strongest counterargument.
- Explain the visibility-liability paradox. How does it apply to BP? Can you identify one other company (not from this course) where a similar dynamic played out?
- Dick Olver said the strategy was “a cold hard way of getting competitive advantage.” If BP’s goal was purely competitive (not ethical), does that change your evaluation of the strategy’s failure?
- Compare BP’s ESG strategy to Toyota’s Prius strategy. What made Toyota’s nonmarket positioning sustainable while BP’s was not?
- What should Tony Hayward have done when he became CEO in 2007, given the Baker Panel’s findings? Outline a specific nonmarket strategy to address the emerging credibility gap before Deepwater Horizon.
Barber's Playbook
A blueprint for cracking any nonmarket strategy exam case – synthesising every framework and case lesson from this course into a repeatable analytical process.
The 5-Step Exam Process
Your BlueprintBefore ranking anything, get a full picture of the firm’s situation using the (ia)³ framework. Read the case once through. Then systematically ask:
| Dimension | Questions to Answer from the Case | Apple Example |
|---|---|---|
| Issues | What specific nonmarket problems does the firm face? List every one mentioned in the case. | H-1B visa threat · DEI crackdown · Onshoring/tariff pressure · EU DMA/DSA fines |
| Actors | Who cares about each issue? Are they organised or diffuse? Homogeneous or fragmented? | Trump admin · EU Commission · Conservative shareholders · Apple engineers · Consumers |
| Interests | What does each actor want? Who are your allies? Who are your adversaries? What coalitions exist? | Trump wants leverage vs big tech; EU wants platform competition; employees want DEI protection |
| Arenas | Where will each issue be resolved? (Legislature, regulator, court, media, trade body, public opinion?) | US Congress (H-1B) · EU regulatory bodies (DMA) · Courts (DEI lawsuits) · Media |
| Information | What facts, data, or narratives are shaping each issue? Who controls the story? | Jobs data · EU fine calculations · App Store revenue figures · DEI lawsuit precedents |
| Assets | What nonmarket resources does the firm have? (Reputation, political access, legal teams, allies, money?) | Apple: brand power, political access (but weakened), legal resources, market dominance |
For each issue you identified in Step 1, apply the severity formula. Then rank issues from highest to lowest. This is the explicit answer to Part 1 of the exam prompt.
Each type of nonmarket issue calls for a specific analytical lens from the course. Matching issue to lens makes your analysis rigorous rather than generic.
| Issue Type | Best Lens | Case Example | Key Question It Answers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Government regulation / taxation | Selectorate Theory + (ia)³ | Xstrata RSPT; Apple onshoring | What does the leader’s coalition need? Will they actually enforce? |
| Trade policy / international rules | Issue Life Cycle + WTO/GATT framework | Chiquita banana war | Where are we in the cycle? What institutional arenas are available? |
| Political risk / FDI / expropriation | Obsolescing Bargain + Risk = P x L | Aguas del Aconquija; Apple vs EU | How has the balance of power shifted since investment was made? |
| NGO campaigns / boycotts / reputational | Private Politics + Visibility-Liability Paradox | Nike; BP; FIJI Water | Who is the activist? What arena do they use? How organised? |
| CSR / stakeholder pressure | CSR vs CSV + Strategic CSR framework | PepsiCo; Disney; BP | Is this window dressing or genuine value creation? |
| Labour / supply chain | Private Politics + Supply Chain Responsibility | Nike; Apple/Foxconn moment | How far does responsibility extend? What governance gap exists? |
| Market disruption / regulatory backlash | Issue Life Cycle + Nonmarket loser mobilisation | Uber; Platform regulation | Who are the displaced losers? How quickly can they organise? |
Having ranked the issues, now build an integrated strategy to address the most severe. A great strategy has three qualities: it addresses the root cause of the risk (not just symptoms), it is operationally feasible, and it coordinates market and nonmarket moves together.
The exam is testing whether you can apply course frameworks to a new case. Referencing real cases from the course (by name, with specific details) shows mastery. Each case transfers a specific lesson.
| Case | Transferable Lesson | When to Deploy |
|---|---|---|
| Uber | Disruption creates organised losers who move to the nonmarket; government inevitably follows | When the firm is a disruptor facing regulatory backlash |
| Selectorate / Wal-Mart | Understand the leader’s coalition survival needs; map (ia)³ before prescribing strategy | Always – this is the diagnostic foundation for every issue |
| Xstrata | Early coalition + media framing + credible threats = politically expensive to ignore | When facing a hostile government regulatory threat you can fight |
| Chiquita | Timing (issue life cycle) + outside vs inside status determines effectiveness; being right may not save you | When the firm is an outsider or is responding reactively |
| Aguas | Obsolescing bargain; vulnerability grows post-investment; build local support before crisis | Any FDI, long-term concession, or infrastructure investment scenario |
| Nike | Supply chain = your responsibility; proactive NGO engagement > reactive crisis management | When reputational risk or NGO campaigns are the threat |
| PepsiCo | CSR must complement the business model; distinguishing genuine CSV from window dressing | When the firm faces societal pressure to change its core practices |
| BP | Green branding raises expectations; credibility gap between brand and operations is catastrophic | When a firm has made ESG commitments that operational reality contradicts |
Apple Case – Worked Ranking
Exam 2025 Walkthrough| Rank | Issue | Probability | Expected Loss | Key Justification |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | EU DMA/DSA (fines up to 10%/20% of global revenue) | High – already enacted; non-compliance mechanism exists | Existential – 10% of ~$400B revenue = $40B; App Store ecosystem threatened | Quantifiable; already in force; Apple needs US govt support but has limited leverage without concessions on issues #2–4 |
| #2 | Onshoring / Tariff Threat | Medium-High – Trump rhetoric credible given steel, auto precedents | Very High – Apple’s supply chain is China-centric; shifting is $B-level cost over years | Core to Apple’s cost structure; supply chain cannot move quickly; creates dependency on Trump’s good will for EU issue |
| #3 | H-1B Visa Crackdown | Medium – executive action possible; Congress divided | High – talent pipeline for AI/chip design; replacing foreign engineers with US equivalents takes years | Long-term competitive threat; Selectorate theory: helps Trump’s working-class coalition coalition narrative |
| #4 | DEI Rollback / Penalties | Lower – legal challenges likely to slow enforcement; courts uncertain | Medium – reputational risk + employee relations + potential fines; but not existential | Dispersed costs (customers); concentrated activist shareholders; legal uncertainty limits near-term probability |
The 9-Step Course Story
How It All ConnectsMarkets and Their Limits
Why and when do markets fail? The Lake Simulation puts students inside a collective action problem, experiencing first-hand why rational individual behaviour can produce catastrophic collective outcomes.
The Core Problem
Tragedy of the CommonsGarrett Hardin (1968) identified a fundamental market failure: when a resource is held in common, rational individual decisions lead collectively to its destruction. Each person extracting from the commons captures the full benefit of their extraction, while sharing the cost of depletion with all others. The result is over-exploitation.
| Solution | Mechanism | Advantage | Problem | Example |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privatisation | Assign property rights; owner internalises full cost of depletion | Owner has incentive to manage sustainably for long-term value | Not all commons can be privatised (oceans, atmosphere); raises equity concerns | Private fishing quotas; grazing land enclosure |
| Government Regulation | State sets extraction limits, taxes, or outright bans | Can be comprehensive; does not require voluntary cooperation | Enforcement costs; regulatory capture; governments may not have information; corruption | Fishing quotas; carbon taxes; hunting seasons |
| Self-Governance (Ostrom) | Community develops and enforces its own rules | Lower enforcement costs; local knowledge; legitimacy; flexible | Requires specific conditions (small group, shared identity, repeated interaction); difficult to scale | Swiss alpine commons; Maine lobster fishing communities; irrigation systems in Spain |
Ostrom studied hundreds of real-world commons that did not collapse. She identified eight design principles that distinguished them from those that failed:
| # | Principle | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clearly defined boundaries | Who has the right to use the resource? Who is excluded? Without this, the group cannot enforce rules. |
| 2 | Rules match local conditions | Rules must fit the specific ecological and social context. Imported rules from elsewhere often fail. |
| 3 | Collective choice arrangements | Users themselves participate in modifying the rules. Top-down rules without buy-in collapse. |
| 4 | Monitoring | Someone must monitor both the resource state and user behaviour. Either users themselves or accountable external parties. |
| 5 | Graduated sanctions | Violations receive proportionate penalties, escalating with severity and repetition. Harsh first-time penalties breed resentment and non-compliance. |
| 6 | Conflict resolution mechanisms | Low-cost, accessible arenas for resolving disputes between users and with governance bodies. |
| 7 | Recognised right to organise | External government authorities recognise the community’s right to govern itself. Without this, rules have no legitimacy. |
| 8 | Nested enterprises | For larger systems, governance is built in multiple layers (local → regional → national). No single-level solution works for all scales. |
The Lake Simulation is not just an environmental lesson. It demonstrates a fundamental logic that runs through the entire course:
| BGS Theme | Commons Connection | Case Link |
|---|---|---|
| Why governments intervene | Markets fail to price externalities; state must set rules to prevent commons collapse | Uber (regulatory intervention inevitable); Aguas (water is a natural monopoly – near-commons) |
| CSR as commons governance | When industries collectively deplete a commons (reputation, environment, consumer trust), CSR is a form of self-governance | PepsiCo (obesity epidemic = shared cost); BP (atmosphere as carbon commons) |
| Industry self-regulation | The FLA (Nike), MCA (Xstrata), Fair Trade: industries creating Ostrom-style governance to avoid harsher state regulation | Nike FLA; Xstrata MCA campaign discipline |
| The lobbying commons | If every firm lobbies for subsidies from the same government budget, the budget is a commons. Collective over-lobbying produces the fiscal equivalent of depletion. | PepsiCo lobbying against soda taxes |
- Explain the Tragedy of the Commons using the Lake Simulation as your example. Why is it a market failure and not a moral failure?
- Compare the three solutions to the tragedy of the commons (privatisation, regulation, self-governance). Under what conditions does each work best?
- Apply Ostrom’s design principles to evaluate a real-world commons governance system of your choice (e.g., a fishery, a city park, an industry code of conduct).
- How does the commons problem help explain why governments inevitably intervene in markets? Link to at least two cases from the course.
- Is carbon emissions a commons problem? Who are the relevant actors? What governance solutions have been tried, and why have they been only partially successful?
It’s Not Easy Being Green
FIJI Water claimed to be “carbon negative” while shipping bottles 5,470 miles by cargo ship. It claimed to love Fiji while registering profits in the Cayman Islands. The case applies every course lens to a single company in simultaneous crisis.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsAnalysis
Session ContentFIJI Water in 2010 faced two completely distinct nonmarket crises simultaneously. This is why it is the “applying what we’ve learned” case – it requires deploying multiple frameworks at once.
| Crisis | Nature | Key Framework | Lesson from Previous Case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carbon-negative lawsuit (Dec 2010) | Greenwashing / credibility trap | BP visibility-liability paradox; CSR vs CSV | Green marketing claims raise expectations – any gap between claim and reality becomes a legal liability |
| Fiji govt tax hike (Nov 2010) | Obsolescing bargain / political risk | Aguas del Aconquija; Risk = P x L | Power shifts post-investment; sole concession holder is vulnerable; aggressive extraction posture inflames political opposition |
FIJI Water’s carbon-negative claim illustrates a broader spectrum of green marketing credibility. Where a company sits on this spectrum determines its vulnerability to legal and reputational challenge.
| Level | Claim Type | Credibility | Example |
|---|---|---|---|
| Authentic | Operationally backed; third-party verified; marginal claim only | High – survives scrutiny | Toyota Prius (actual product); Patagonia (supply chain transparency) |
| Strategic CSR | Real initiatives; genuine reduction; modest claims | Medium-high – generally credible | BP’s early emissions reductions (before Deepwater) |
| Aspirational | Real goal; partial progress; forward-looking claim | Medium – credible if progress visible | PepsiCo 2025 sugar reduction targets |
| Greenwashing | Claim overstated; methodology questionable; marketing-led | Low – vulnerable to legal challenge | FIJI Water “120% carbon negative”; Smart Choices (Froot Loops) |
| Fraud | Demonstrably false; no supporting evidence | Zero – legal liability certain | False organic certification; invented environmental data |
The Fijian government’s tax hike is a textbook Obsolescing Bargain (from Session 6). The pattern is identical to Aguas del Aconquija:
| Stage | Aguas (Tucumán) | FIJI Water (Fiji) |
|---|---|---|
| Initial deal | Only bidder; negotiated higher tariffs + lower investment | Exclusive 99-year lease on aquifer; tax holiday until 2008 |
| Post-investment shift | Infrastructure sunk; 104% price hike; brown water | Massive shipping emissions; tax havens; aquifer monopoly while locals lack clean water |
| Political trigger | Election of new governor (Bussi) promising renegotiation | Fijian government asserts economic nationalism; 45x tax hike |
| Company response | Froze investment; diplomatic pressure; eventually ICSID | Called tax “discriminatory”; threatened to close and leave |
| Outcome | Concession terminated; $700M ICSID claim still pending | Negotiated; government backed down on prior tax increase but not the 2010 one |
- Apply the Obsolescing Bargain model to FIJI Water’s relationship with the Fijian government. At what point did the company’s bargaining power peak? What should it have done differently?
- Is FIJI Water’s “carbon negative” claim greenwashing? Use the greenwashing spectrum to evaluate the claim. What specific elements make it vulnerable to legal challenge?
- FIJI Water faced two simultaneous crises in 2010. Which is more severe? Use Risk = Probability x Expected Loss to justify your ranking.
- Compare FIJI Water’s situation to BP. What do these two cases have in common in terms of the gap between brand promise and operational reality?
- If you were advising FIJI Water’s CEO in November 2010, what strategy would you recommend for (a) the Fijian government tax dispute and (b) the California class action lawsuit?
How Far Does CSR Extend?
Disney’s “Don’t Say Gay” crisis is a masterclass in the limits of corporate political neutrality. When a brand’s identity is built on inclusion, silence on inclusion issues is itself a political act – and employees know it.
Cast of Characters
Key ActorsAnalysis
Session ContentChapek’s initial instinct – stay apolitical, let the stories speak – was strategically coherent for a company serving broadly diverse customers. But for Disney specifically, it failed for one reason: Disney’s brand identity had been built on inclusion, diversity, and protection of marginalised communities through its “Reimagine Tomorrow” campaign and content strategy.
| Stakeholder | Desired Disney Response | How Chapek’s Path Failed Them |
|---|---|---|
| LGBTQ+ employees | Immediate public opposition; stop Florida political donations | Silence read as betrayal of stated values; walkouts organised; open letter published |
| Florida Republicans | Stay out of Florida politics; don’t oppose the bill | Once Chapek buckled and opposed the bill, Republicans felt betrayed by a major Florida taxpayer |
| Conservative customers | Don’t take sides on contested social issues | Disney opposition to a majority-supported provision alienated a large segment |
| Investors / Shareholders | Protect the Reedy Creek special status; don’t create political enemies | The Reedy Creek dissolution added regulatory costs and removed decades of operational advantages |
The Disney case raises the fundamental question of this session: how far does a corporation’s social responsibility extend? Does it include taking public positions on contested social and political issues unrelated to its core business?
The most dramatic nonmarket consequence was DeSantis’s move to dissolve the Reedy Creek Improvement District – a special government structure established in 1967 that gave Disney extraordinary self-governance in Florida.
| Timeline | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | HB 1557 passes Florida House | $149.50 |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Bill passes Florida Senate; Chapek buckles and opposes publicly | $131.75 (−12%) |
| Apr 22, 2022 | DeSantis signs bill dissolving Reedy Creek | $118.27 (−21% from peak) |
| Apr 29, 2022 | Disney communications chief resigns | $111.63 (−25% from peak) |
Disney’s experience illustrates a critical new dynamic in corporate political activism: governments can and will use regulatory power to retaliate against companies that take political positions they oppose. This raises the stakes of corporate activism dramatically – and changes the calculus for firms with significant regulatory dependencies.
- Was Chapek’s initial decision to stay silent on HB 1557 the right one? Evaluate it using the Corporate Political Activism framework. What were the nonmarket costs of silence vs. speaking?
- Apply the (ia)³ framework to Disney’s situation. Who were the key actors? What were their interests? Which arenas mattered? What assets did Disney have and lack?
- DeSantis’s Reedy Creek retaliation represents a new form of nonmarket risk for companies that engage in political activism. How should companies factor this into their decision-making?
- Bob Iger said the issue was “right and wrong, not politics.” The polling data suggests 51–64% of Americans supported HB 1557. Can a contested issue be both “right and wrong” and politically contested simultaneously? What does this mean for corporate activism?
- Compare the Disney case to Wal-Mart (Session 2-3). Both companies faced pressure to take positions on controversial social issues. How do their situations differ, and what different strategies do those differences suggest?
Navigating Conflicting Problems
Apple’s New Political Reality is the 2025 exam case. Four overlapping nonmarket crises under the Trump administration – each requiring a different strategic response, and each entangled with the others.
The Four Nonmarket Issues
Case SummaryThe EU DMA forces Apple to open its platforms to third-party app stores and payment systems – directly threatening Apple’s closed-ecosystem model and App Store revenue. Non-compliance fines can reach 10% of global revenue, with repeat offences at 20%. The DSA adds transparency requirements on content moderation and advertising, with fines up to 6% of global revenue. Additionally, the EU has mandated USB-C ports, displacing Apple’s Lightning connector.
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Probability | High – DMA is already enacted and being enforced; Apple has already faced EU investigations |
| Expected Loss | Existential – App Store generates ~$85B+ revenue; 10-20% of $400B+ global revenue = up to $80B |
| Severity Ranking | Most severe (#1) – quantifiable, certain, already in force, directly threatens core revenue model |
| Key Constraint | Apple cannot influence EU regulation alone; needs US government advocacy to create pressure on Brussels |
| The Entanglement | Apple needs Trump to fight the EU. Trump will only fight if Apple concedes on other issues (onshoring, H-1B, DEI) |
Trump has threatened tariffs, penalties, and regulatory action against companies that manufacture overseas rather than in the US. Apple’s supply chain is deeply embedded in China (and parts of Asia). Shifting production to the US would dramatically increase costs and take years.
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Probability | Medium-high – credible given steel/auto tariff precedents; Apple is a high-profile target |
| Expected Loss | Very high – Apple’s cost structure built on Asian manufacturing; US shift would add $B-level costs to iPhone production; estimated iPhone price would rise significantly |
| Severity Ranking | Second most severe (#2) – core to Apple’s competitive advantage |
| Strategic Logic | Concessions (e.g., announcing US manufacturing investment, even if modest) could satisfy Trump politically at relatively low cost vs. tariff alternative |
Apple has been one of the largest H-1B visa beneficiaries. Trump has signalled a crackdown, arguing the programme takes jobs from American workers. Apple argues these visas are essential for software engineering, machine learning, and chip design talent.
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Probability | Medium – executive action possible but politically contested (some Trump allies support H-1B for tech) |
| Expected Loss | High long-term – AI and chip design talent pipeline; replacing foreign engineers takes years; immediate disruption if implemented |
| Severity Ranking | Third (#3) – serious but slower-moving; political will more divided |
| Issue Life Cycle | Still in agenda-setting to interest group formation stages; not yet at legislation; maximum leverage window is now |
Trump has declared war on corporate DEI initiatives, threatening fines, lawsuits, and penalties. Conservative activist shareholders have pressured Apple to scale back DEI, arguing it creates legal and financial risks.
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Probability | Lower – legal challenges to anti-DEI enforcement are likely; courts have been divided; executive orders can be overturned |
| Expected Loss | Medium – reputational risk (employee relations, diverse talent attraction) + potential fines, but not existential |
| Severity Ranking | Least severe (#4) – lower probability, medium loss, high legal uncertainty |
| Complication | DEI position affects Apple’s relationship with progressive employees (who the H-1B cuts would also affect); both issues touch the same talent base |
The Apple case is explicitly designed to force prioritisation and integrated strategy. The four issues are entangled: Apple’s ability to address Issue 1 (EU/DMA) depends critically on its relationship with Trump, which in turn depends on what concessions it makes on Issues 2–4.
Exam Prep Hub
Cross-case comparison matrix, master framework selection guide, and worked examples. Use this alongside the Barber's Playbook tab.
Cross-Case Comparison Matrix
All 10 Cases| Case | Primary Issue Type | Firm’s Error | What Worked | Key Framework |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uber | Regulatory disruption; stakeholder backlash | No nonmarket strategy; identity ambiguity | User base as political shield | (ia)³; Issue Life Cycle |
| Wal-Mart | Reputation risk; labour/health/environment | Ignored nonmarket until Stage 3–4; reactive | Eventually: media, environment, community | (ia)³; Integrated Strategy |
| Xstrata | Tax regulation; political strategy | Not consulted; no early engagement | Fast coalition; media; credible threats | Lobbying; Issue Life Cycle |
| Chiquita | Trade policy; WTO; external outsider | Asleep during policy formation; outside actor | Legal route (right but slow) | Issue Life Cycle; WTO/GATT |
| Aguas | Political risk; FDI; obsolescing bargain | 104% price hike; no community support; sole bidder | Nothing worked; left ICSID claim | Obsolescing Bargain; Risk = P x L |
| Nike | NGO campaigns; labour; private politics | Denial; no proactive stakeholder engagement | FLA; Knight confession; reform programme | Private Politics; Visibility-Liability |
| PepsiCo | Health/CSR; societal pressure | Nutriwashing; lobbying contradicts CSR claims | R&D investment; healthy acquisitions | CSR vs CSV; Porter & Kramer |
| BP | ESG branding; credibility trap | Brand above operational reality; safety cuts | Initial differentiation strategy (before Deepwater) | Visibility-Liability; ESG credibility |
| FIJI Water | Greenwashing; obsolescing bargain | Overstated green claim; hostile to host govt | Premium brand (before crisis) | Greenwashing spectrum; Obsolescing Bargain |
| Disney | Corporate political activism; brand risk | Identity trap; no coherent position | Nothing worked; Chapek eventually fired | Corporate Political Activism; Stakeholder Conflict |
Success & Failure Patterns
Cross-Case LessonsCoalition building: Found allies who amplified their message with credibility (MCA for Xstrata; FLA for Nike).
Right arena: Chose the arena where they had most leverage (media for Xstrata when consultation failed).
Market + nonmarket aligned: Market strategy reinforced rather than undermined nonmarket position (Toyota Prius; Starbucks fair trade).
Denial: Nike’s “we don’t make shoes” and Aguas’s confrontational stance made crises worse.
Brand-reality gap: BP and FIJI Water made claims their operations couldn’t support.
Market strategy worsened NM exposure: Aguas’s sole-bidder leverage inflamed public; Chiquita’s debt made market adaptation impossible.
The Visibility–Liability Relationship
Key PatternGlossary
Key terms, frameworks, and concepts from Sessions 1–15, organised by course part – not alphabetically.